Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1145.004478 1315.136997 1510.306215 1752.649103 2048.128310 2400.121210 2.856370e+03
2024-12-29 912.707645 1130.366060 1406.688815 1790.758247 2323.256941 3055.313245 4.175084e+03
2025-01-05 759.496143 982.049094 1281.808514 1728.040888 2399.475308 3415.620882 5.165216e+03
2025-01-12 656.447737 877.055744 1188.047598 1676.837224 2463.157983 3754.289274 6.224808e+03
2025-01-19 577.328591 791.557830 1104.748893 1619.308618 2494.783099 4037.438378 7.284875e+03
2025-01-26 545.820220 769.378042 1109.332097 1695.896127 2759.273179 4794.370057 9.610014e+03
2025-02-02 512.558001 739.524641 1096.402820 1738.873171 2971.216889 5515.736313 1.225712e+04
2025-02-09 481.613350 709.173438 1077.694629 1766.889370 3159.146643 6248.168133 1.540491e+04
2025-02-16 448.296611 671.194056 1041.038772 1755.100445 3262.784673 6825.821360 1.853632e+04
2025-02-23 429.613019 655.126636 1039.536364 1808.839212 3517.795801 7869.444833 2.412918e+04
2025-03-02 412.664187 640.090633 1037.662749 1860.901972 3782.039569 9053.342243 3.161360e+04
2025-03-09 392.694518 617.854758 1019.913759 1877.032056 3964.866771 10090.196392 3.990693e+04
2025-03-16 368.747819 587.687199 986.250522 1858.955258 4071.739510 10995.072676 4.940160e+04
2025-03-23 353.450794 571.872155 978.648897 1898.290826 4346.815045 12652.151648 6.753390e+04
2025-03-30 328.402695 536.040142 927.928151 1830.865734 4306.702155 13135.183196 7.859021e+04
2025-04-06 307.119780 505.580001 885.026914 1775.657606 4289.921325 13720.076518 9.272692e+04
2025-04-13 287.196728 476.253690 841.785382 1713.706315 4239.063641 14150.399493 1.073374e+05
2025-04-20 282.357517 475.149674 856.398926 1796.195886 4666.549867 17076.339677 1.693058e+05
2025-04-27 274.535386 467.615717 856.648635 1842.522337 4994.078143 19847.953733 2.572217e+05
2025-05-04 265.921159 457.842369 851.058133 1872.736076 5278.644345 22706.879797 3.916654e+05
2025-05-11 254.678850 442.030362 830.736564 1860.021099 5403.989405 24762.662321 5.500648e+05
2025-05-18 249.306991 437.663093 835.494706 1917.996961 5825.204288 29379.615777 1.009225e+06
2025-05-25 244.032421 433.087939 839.301273 1974.202734 6266.395948 34913.202122 2.057103e+06